All these changes will come as a few, upper level trough of low pressure pass through the Southland. One such trough will pass tomorrow currently causing precipitation over parts of northern California. A weaker trough should pass on Saturday morning. Some model forecasts show the marine layer being deep enough to support patchy, early morning drizzle or light rain. One again, I decided to omit any rain threat for the campus area. What model solutions that show wet weather favor areas to the east and south of L.
This predicted trough also is weaker than one that surprised me with light rain this past Monday. The third trough, however, looks to produce widespread precipitation includes probable, first good snow dump in the northern Sierras. Decent storm dynamics are forecast to reach the southern California Monday morning, and there will be a brief connection to an atmospheric river when the storm arrives here. The timing for the steady rain period may change between now and the actual event, but today's model consensus favors Monday morning starting with the early morning commute.
A brief period of moderate to heavy intensity rain is likely for most areas west of the mountains. No thunderstorms are currently forecast with this storm predicted to be too stable over the Southland , but I wouldn't rule out a brief thunderstorm or two.
However, there has been a model trend toward less rainfall than what was forecast a couple days ago. Storm totals in the lowlands away from the mountains should range in the quarter to three quarters of an inch range. Still, there is chance that earlier projections of 0. Jared Trok and Abbey Williams both received graduate fellowships from the American Meteorological Society AMS to support their graduate work in atmospheric science starting next year.
Jared graduated in the spring with a double major in atmospheric science and applied mathematics. He has been working with Prof. Erwan Monier on the relative influence of climate change and climate variability on ozone pollution across various regions of the world and is currently completing a first-authored manuscript on that work.
Noah Diffenbaugh. She has been doing research with Prof. Adele Igel on aerosol-cloud interactions in Arctic clouds and currently has a first-authored paper in review at Geophysical Research Letters.
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